Why Global Investors Should Look East: A Strategic Case for A- and H-Shares in 2026
By Arvin | February 9, 2026
As U.S. markets grapple with AI-driven volatility, shifting Fed narratives, and geopolitical uncertainty, a compelling opportunity is quietly unfolding in China’s equity markets. Ten of China’s top securities firms—including CITIC Securities, GF Securities, and Haitong Securities—have issued a rare consensus: now is the time to “hold through the Spring Festival” and add exposure to Chinese equities. For global investors focused on risk-adjusted returns, this coordinated bullish signal shouldn’t be ignored.
🌏 The Global Backdrop: “Risk-Off” Meets Realignment
Recent turbulence in global tech stocks—sparked by Anthropic’s disruptive AI tools and speculation around new Fed leadership—has triggered a broad “risk-off” rotation. Yet beneath the noise lies a structural shift: the world is moving from “financial engineering” toward real-economy investment. As CITIC Securities notes, Western markets are only now beginning the painful transition that China’s market has already priced in over the past three years.
In contrast, China’s capital markets are entering a phase of “quality-over-quantity” validation, supported by aggressive policy pivots toward domestic consumption, industrial upgrading, and financial stability. With the Chinese government explicitly prioritizing “internal demand as the primary task,” and regulators reaffirming their commitment to a “stable and improving” market, the stage is set for a re-rating of Chinese assets.
🐉 Why Now? The “Spring Festival Effect” & Valuation Reset
Historically, the period around China’s Lunar New Year (which began February 8, 2026) marks the start of the “Spring Rally”—a seasonal uptick driven by liquidity inflows, policy anticipation, and post-holiday risk appetite. GF Securities highlights that February is the strongest month for the “calendar effect” in A-shares, especially for small-cap and cyclical names.
Moreover, after a wave of negative earnings pre-announcements in January 2025 (with record numbers of companies reporting losses), the “bad news is out.” As GF puts it: “The market is now traveling light.” At around 4,000 on the Wind All-A Index, valuations are attractive relative to both historical norms and global peers.
📈 Top Picks from China’s Brokerage Consensus
Below are high-conviction sectors and stocks recommended by multiple top-tier Chinese brokers, formatted for international clarity:
1. Domestic Consumption & Services
- 【食品饮料 – Food & Beverage – 90.BK0438 – Consumer Staples】
Backed by rising disposable income and post-holiday consumption rebound. - 【航空 – Airlines – e.g., Air China – 601111.SH – Transportation】
Benefiting from inbound tourism recovery and corporate travel normalization. - 【免税 – Duty-Free Retail – China Tourism Group Duty Free – 601888.SH – Consumer Discretionary】
2. Tech & AI Innovation (H-Share Focus)
- 【港股互联网 – Hong Kong Internet Giants – e.g., Tencent – 0700.HK – Communication Services】
Haitong and CICC see deep value in battered tech names; potential for catch-up rally. - 【AI应用 – AI Applications – 90.BK1629 – Software/IT】
Includes AI-driven media, robotics, and enterprise software—low crowding, high catalyst density.
3. Hard Assets & Reindustrialization
- 【铜 – Copper – Jiangxi Copper – 600362.SH – Materials】
- 【原油及油运 – Oil & Tanker Shipping – COSCO Shipping Energy – 600026.SH – Energy】
GF and Guojin Securities argue physical assets are entering a “revaluation cycle” amid low inventories and energy infrastructure demands from AI.
4. Export-Oriented Manufacturing
- 【电网设备 – Power Grid Equipment – 90.BK0457 – Industrials】
- 【储能 – Energy Storage – 90.BK0989 – Clean Tech】
- 【工程机械 – Construction Machinery – Sany Heavy Industry – 600031.SH – Industrials】
These benefit from global manufacturing recovery and China’s “new quality productive forces” export push.
5. Financials (High Dividend + Policy Support)
- 【券商 – Securities Firms – CITIC Securities – 600030.SH – Financials】
- 【保险 – Insurance – Ping An Insurance – 601318.SH – Financials】
CICC and Haitong emphasize non-bank financials as leveraged plays on capital market expansion.
🧭 Strategic Takeaway for Global Investors
While U.S. equities face headwinds from AI disruption and monetary uncertainty, Chinese A- and H-shares offer a rare combination of valuation support, policy tailwinds, and cyclical inflection. The current pullback isn’t a crisis—it’s a recalibration.
As兴业证券 (Industrial Securities) succinctly states: “Holding through the holiday offers both high win rate and favorable risk-reward.”
For global portfolios seeking diversification beyond the Magnificent Seven, China’s equity markets present a timely, tactical—and potentially transformative—opportunity.
Disclaimer: This blog is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always conduct your own due diligence.
— Arvin
Global Markets Analyst | Bridging East & West